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February 25th MLB news ... With a complex game like Wagering on baseball, it is imperative to be as informed as possible in all aspects of the game. Be sure to log on daily to keep up to date with all of the latest baseball stats, trends and tips.

Welcome to wageringonbaseball.com, the site dedicated to assisting the baseball bettor on scoring a profit on America's pastime.

This site was created to supply a competitive edge over the house during the baseball season.

With a complex game like baseball, it is imperative to be as informed as possible in all aspects of the game. Be sure to log on daily to keep up to date with all of the latest baseball stats, trends and tips.

Latest MLB News

ALCS Game 4 Betting Odds and Preview
2010-10-19

Sportsbook.com betting odds: New York -153, Texas +143 Total: 9.5

After being shut down by Cliff Lee on Monday, the Yankees rest their Game 4 hopes on the shoulders of A.J. Burnett (10-15, 5.26 ERA). Tommy Hunter will get the start for Texas (13-4, 3.73 ERA). So far the baseball betting public at Sportsbook.com is split as 51% of the money is on the Yankees.

Burnett’s disappointing season has been well documented. The right-hander has struggled with his control for the better part of the 2010 season and was left out of the ALDS rotation. As a result, Burnett hasn’t pitched since October 2. His last three starts of the regular season were ones to forget, as he went 0-2 with a 7.94 ERA.

The Yankees have lost five of Burnett’s past six starts and went 13-20 (.394) in games he started this year. He’s pitched fairly well in his career against Texas, going 4-2 with a 3.45 ERA in 11 starts. In 2010, he went 1-0 with a 2.50 ERA in three starts against the Rangers.

Hunter comes into the matchup after taking the loss in Game 4 of the ALDS against Tampa Bay. He went four innings and allowed three runs (two earned) on six hits while striking out seven. Hunter started the season on fire, winning his first nine decisions before finishing out 4-4. Texas has dropped three of his last four starts. Hunter faced the Yankees only once this year, a September 11 matchup against Burnett in Arlington. Hunter gave up two runs over five innings as the Rangers prevailed 7-6.

This MLB betting trend found at Sportsbook.com points towards the Yankees as being the value bet.

Play Against - Road teams (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest. (72-33 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.6%, +38.7 units. Rating = 3*).

With the most generous baseball dime lines in the business, it is no wonder everyone bets on baseball at Sportsbook.com.


MLB: Betting Quality Pitchers after bad outing
2009-07-21

We have all been there as sports bettors, an attractive wager has been made on the team ace and he’s shelled and gone by the fourt Apuestas Deportivas h inning, causing wagering accounts to decline. You understand as baseball bettor, the good pitchers are going to get beat, but when they are battered like the heavy bag at the gym, that is more gut-wrenching. After taking such a loss, is it a good or bad idea to follow up with that same pitcher in his next start?

The first order of business was to determine what makes a quality pitcher in 2009 and decided a minimum of 10 starts had to be made, with a personal winning percentage of 60 percent or higher. This pitcher had to be active or not injured, since it would do us no good to follow somebody who wasn’t pitching to begin with.

A bad outing was determined to be five or more earned runs in a single start. There were a couple of instances where particular hurlers fit the criteria in surrendering five or more runs with one or zero being earned. The argument becomes where to draw the line, thus settled on five earned and disregarded everything else.

Of course many of the names are quite familiar, like a who’s-who in baseball with Tim Lincecum, Josh Beckett, Roy Halladay, Johan Santana and Felix Hernandez to name a few all making the list. As always, confounding pitchers have big years out of nowhere. A Matt Palmer from the Angels, Tim Wakefield, Matt Cain, Scott Feldman and Kevin Slowey all pop up unexpectedly. Even discarded Jason Marquis, who is baseball’s first 12-game winner, finds a home in Colorado of all places.
In trying to learn how top notch hurlers would pitch after being cuffed around, the categories were broken down into favorites, underdogs and pick, with the end result of the game, not the pitchers record what we were seeking.

When a pitcher is tattooed (possibly poor word choice in today’s world) and favored in next game, his record is well above average, but not a great help to the sports bettors. The pitcher’s team is 33-21, 61.1 percent, not bad, however not the best bet one could find at +3.9 units of profit.

How would a capable thrower of the horsehide do when the game could go either way with a money line of -105? It turned out to be about as expected with 6-5 record and squeaking out a slight profit.
Where the real money can be found, is when this pummeled pitcher takes the mound as an underdog in next start. Most baseball players could tell you the spread of a football game or even basketball contest before they would know the money line on a game they were playing. In many cases, the pitcher is likely to know he has to bare-down more off a substandard outing and would have a sense what his team needs based on opposing team and opposition pitcher.

In this spot the underdog chucker is 19-9, 67.8 percent and baseball bettors pick up a sweet +16.35 units.

When you add all the numbers together, the total arrives at 58-35, +21 units. The 62.3 percent winning percentage is nothing special, which is not that far above the minimum requirement. Nevertheless, place our roughed up delivery man in the miscast role of underdog and watch him deliver a profit worth crowing about.